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Yet the presence of professional counterparties complicates the customer-facing idea that prediction markets merely allow users to trade opinions with one another. As Kendrick puts it, two ordinary customers are not going to place $10 million or $20 million behind the Philadelphia Eagles. Markets at that scale require institutions.
For Marantelli, the exchange format could also cause some customers to lose money faster than they would with a conventional sportsbook. The ability to enter and exit positions creates a perception of flexibility, but that optionality can encourage users to commit more of their bankroll.
A customer might buy a team at 55 or 56 cents expecting the price to rise to 58 or 59 cents, he explains. If it falls to 45 cents instead, the trader may refuse to accept the loss and continue holding the position.
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“These jobs matter. They matter particularly in communities where good local employment can be difficult to find.”
She emphasised that half of Entain’s retail employees were women, with over 50% working flexible or part-time hours. More than 2,500 of its employees are under 25 years old.
The letter argues that the proposed increase would hit the workers and communities Labour’s “Makerfield Test” is supposed to protect, while potentially costing the Exchequer money rather than raising it.